Archive for September, 2009

FuTrends4: Redefining Companies

Thursday, September 24th, 2009
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rahaWhen the crisis was set to begin, there seemed to be a sense in the air that after the crisis things would be different. Many agreed that what had brought us here in the first place was basicly the reckless behaviour of banks and that, among others, regulation was needed to fix the situation. The talk was mainly concentrated on financial institutions, yet other lines of business had their share as well. The enterprise of the next decade was prone to be more humane and less “greedy”.

Not that the idea was anything new, though. Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR) has existed for decades already, and most of the major corporations have had their departments of CSR already up and running for years. Social investment has also seen ready to skyrocket within the near future, and in many ways it also has. To complete this kind of development, the crisis was seen as the last necessary step for the companies to remake their skin, this time for good.

However, according to many, this has not really happened, almost the opposite. Among others this was noted by Obama in his speech earlier this month, stating that “instead of learning the lessons of Lehman and the crisis from which we are still recovering, they (finance enterprises) are choosing to ignore them”. A classic case of “everything has to change so that everything can stay the same”?

Not necessarily. The one thing that the crisis probably did change was the amount of angry people, angry in one way or another not only to banks and similars but also to other kind of enterprises. After all, it was not only banks who received financial aid in the form of tax-payers money, in the US the list also included car makers etc.

These angry people are likely to view the corporate world more critically from now on. In practise, this might mean they opt to buy the products of the company who are, well, better behaving than someof  the other one. They are likely to be less forgiving to the misbehaviour of businesse. In any case, I do not see too many wanting to spend more of their money to pay the bonuses of the directors of companies such as AIG.

It is not that the companies are voluntarily willing to change to become more ethical or humane, even though some of their directors might actually even want so. It is more likely consumer preferences that force many of the companies to change course. That does not mean that companies will make Greenpeace and co. redundant, but in order to stay in business the worst bullies cannot survive, everyone has to play at least a little bit nice.

What is true, though, is that people tend to have ashort memory, and things have a habit of returning back to the “normal”. However, within our near future we are likely to face events that will remind consumers/voters over the importance of ethical behaviour on the part of the companies. For one thing the climate change will probably intensify this development. Furthermore, it is not that all this started from the crisis either, the talk of ethical enterprises has been going on for years and has made some results as well already.

In the end companies as well will contribute to the process. The constant search for new markets will lead to a situation where companies have to start making them, also to the poorest areas of the world. This does not only mean making their products cheaper, but also taking more actively part in making the living areas and local societies better as a whole. This might mean giving funds, building infrastructure or providing personnel in forms of nurses and teachers. This so called market making will be carried in groups of corporations in order to share the costs, and has an aim that is shared by all of the participating enterprises: to create consumers who are able to consume companies products. In the meantime before that happens, these projects make wonderful PR.

The companies who manifacture goods and services sold directly to the consumers are the first ones to be impacted, that is, start behaving more ethically. The others, those who do business mainly with other companies, or who are hidden further along in the supply chain or situated in third world countries will resist the change longer. Eventually there is no escape for them either, globalisation does its wonders in many ways: not only companies outsource production or part of their services abroad, also the demands of the market areas can travel a long way. With time the consumer pressure will caught also those who are not directly linked to them.

The final pressure will come from governments, influenced by their voters. This in turn will probably mean more regulation, however it is likely to stay reasonable: the advantages of opening up the markets tend to be in general higher to those of putting barriers, at least when certain common frameworks and functioning regulation is in place.

Eventually, this ongoing process will effect the way we think about companies, or to put it another way, how we define them. Instead of just tools to make money companies need to do more, they need to accept a broader social/ethical role, and if not, they and their products run the risk of being deserted by the consumers. What is now known as socially responsible company turns out to be the normal company of tomorrow. Once our definition of the words company, enterprise or corporation has changed, the socially irresponsible company becomes if not extinct, at least rare. Company behaving unethically will cause just as big of a shock as Janet Jackson’s boob on TV.

Redefining Companies: Do you find this trend likely?

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Rubbish in Space

Wednesday, September 23rd, 2009
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(c) ESA

(c) ESA

It seems that it is not only the Earth that has been partly filled with junk and trash. Space has gotten its part too. There is so much debris going around in the orbit, that it is posing a real threat not only to another satellites but also to space shuttles and spacecraft, for example to the International Space Station (ISS). Therefore, Pentagon has requested ideas on any possible solutions how to clean the mess.

According to DARPA’s description, “Since the advent of the space-age over five decades ago, more than thirty-five thousand man-made objects have been cataloged by the U.S. Space Surveillance Network. Nearly twenty-thousand of those objects remain in orbit today [...]“. On top of that, “These figures do not include the hundreds-of-thousands of objects too small to be cataloged, but still large enough to pose a threat to approximately nine-hundred operational satellites in orbit around the Earth.”

The debris consists of a bit of everything, varying in size, form and material. It is an interesting mix of, among others, spent rocket stages and defunct satellites, explosion fragments, paint flakes, slag from solid rocket motors, coolant released by nuclear powered satellites and small needles. Apparently even the very small parts like paint flakes can be potentially harmful, as they can cause erosive damage (sandblasting-like) when in contact. Therefore, Pentagon is not only interested in cleaning the big parts, “The debris population of interest includes small (1-10mm) [and] medium (1-10 cm)” sized pieces as well.

Any collision or destructive measure will increase the amount of debris enormously, and for example in 2007 an anti-satellite missile test made by China created in addition to national pride a debris field of some 40,000 pieces. The USA could not wait try its own the next year (animation of how it all happened here). There was also a more natural collision earlier this year between an Iridium satellite and a retired Russian satellite. What ever the solution for the problem, destruction seems to be not one of them.

It is good that Pentagon has rolled up its sleeves in order to do something for the problem, even though it might have been a good idea to think twice before destroying satellites with missiles (then again, have not heard any possible interest to the issue on the part of China). I suppose one solution to the problem lies in the heart that we have not taken our space junk far enough. The problem is not that it is there, the problem is that it is too close.

Next time, when a satellite has done its job it should be directed towards outer space. Once you cannot see it the problem ceases to exist. For the stuff that is already there, well, I recommend small steps. From now on when the people at the ISS do their spacewalks etc. they could take a rubbish bag with them and collect a particle or two every time. Might take a while, but small deeds make big difference. That is at least what they told us when we were made to clean the local park at first grade.

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Related or not?

Monday, September 14th, 2009
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Receiving Bill Clinton
Creative Commons License photo credit: jurvetson

Bit over a month ago Bill Clinton went to North Korea, had a talk with the country leader Kim Jong-il and came back with two pardoned US reporters, Laura Ling and Euna Lee. The journalists had been earlier captured, “trialed”, found guilty of hostile acts and entering illegally into the country and sentenced to 12 years in jail. By the time I found it a bit odd that the two got their freedom so smoothly, all it took was an ex-politician (even though a very significant one) to make a visit. What was it that North Korea won?

The possibly answers are surprisingly many, starting from reputation management abroad to propaganda material back home. Similar tactics have been used by Libya under Gaddafi, Iran with the resolution of the US embassy hostage crisis and few others as well. Still it seemed that just for good PR the liberation process seemed awfully easy, or at least quick, more like an exchange: North Korea got Bill Clinton for a visit, US their reporters. It is true that North Korea does not always seem to make much sense, but annulling a 12 year sentence just like that usually demands a little more than a visit, especially when it was described to be nothing more than “a private mission”.

Curiously enough, one month later the US has stated it’s readiness for direct talks with North Korea. This is exactly what North Korea has wanted for long, it is just that up till now the US has been more willing to favor the six-party talks and has declined the offer (example here). True, Obama has been more inclined to negoatiate than his predecessor (and that is not a bad thing). However, one cannot stop wondering about the coincidence of these two events, especially since already after two weeks of the release there were talks between US and North Korean officials where according to the US representative the latter was sending “good signals” to the former.

In any case, there is no harm in talking, at least better that than warfare. The only thing is that if there really is a connection between the two cases and this kind of “hostage diplomacy” on behalf of states becomes more of a norm than irregularity, well, I suppose it is not really the direction the democratic states want to be heading either. Bill Clinton might not be that happy either having his calendar filled with dictatorial dinners.

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Maritime shortcuts

Thursday, September 10th, 2009
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world map in Arabic
Creative Commons License photo credit: mikel_maron

I know I am missing several pieces of information but I cannot help wondering about the curious case of Arctic Sea, the ship which was hijacked or not hijacked while carrying weapons to Iran or timber to Algeria, depending on who you ask. The whole thing seems so bizarre with all its claimed hijackings and connections to Israel etc. that it seems almost impossible to take a grip on it all (more info, though, about the incident can be found  here and here and in plenty of other places as well.

There are so many things that just do not fit. Take the route for example. If you want to smuggle arms from Russia to Iran, why do you wanna go through the Atlantic, Mediterranean Sea and Indian Ocean when you can just row your boat over the Caspian Sea? It is not only quicker, but I suppose a lot easier as well, no need to worry about the coast guards and inspections of god knows how many different, more or less well-functioning states?

Then again, if the missiles or arms to be taken to Iran were in Kaliningrad, I suppose there was no other option. But if so why go to Finland to get timber, why not just get the “fake” cargo directly from Kaliningrad, im sure you can buy timber from there as well..

Ok, maybe that was done in order to lose the real “origin”of the cargo. Finland and timber, I do not think it can get any less suspicious than that. But what the hell was this hijacking thing then? Hijack timber in the Baltic Sea? Just buy an axe and go to Lapland and you’ll get it lot cheaper and easier.

In any case, let’s suppose there was no “real” hijackers, let’s assume it really was Mossad or some Israeli organization who was behind it all. But then again, why let the boat leave the harbor in the first place, why not just make a call to Lavrov or some other Russian authority when the boat was already in Kalinigrad and say: “hey, some of your general or someone is trying to smuggle your missiles?” Or later on in the port of Pietarsaari in Finland? One could assume this would be of interest at least to the Russian authorities… “Really? Well, we better take a look then before it sails..” would seem like a likely answer..

Then again, I quess it is possible that the whole thing was approved by the Russian authorities. However, that takes us back to the first question, why not just sail across the Caspian Sea? Could not get much more simple and quicker than that. Or maybe it is just that the weather in the Caspian Sea can get really nasty..

Or maybe it is possible it really was just timber. But in that case why hijack (or whatever you wanna call it), and why switch off the tracking device? And how incompetent is the captain if he ends up in Cap Verde when he was supposed to go to Algeria? I have heard of drunken seamen but this has to be the record. Furthermore, the market price for timber has to ridiculously high if it is worth on the part of the Russian authorities to send so many vessels after it (including two nuclear subs..) and then fly the suspects on three different army jets back to Russia.

No wonder everybody is so interested to know what really happened, even though it is also possible one will never know for sure. There is no shortage of trying though, Google News gives the words “Arctic Sea” and “ship” English newscount of 1.639. That also goes on to show, that if you wanna do something in secret, this really is not a good way to do it..

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