Archive for the ‘Explanation needed’ Category

To worry or not..?

Monday, November 30th, 2009
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Ggumi

Creative Commons License photo credit: 42doll

There is something odd in the swine flu, yet it is somewhat hard to point out what the odd part exactly is. The media still seems to go relatively crazy about every little information there is to share about the virus, and there seems to be more and more people who have gotten contracted, some of them even ending up dead, but somehow it seems something that people at least in here generally worry very little.

While the media might be seen in some cases accused of intentions to create panic among people over the flu, it is funny how all the doctors I have talked with (not that they are many or that they are experts on swine flu as such) do not seem worried at all. Most of them do not seem this that much different from the seasonal flu epidemics. Furthermore, all of them have recommended not taking the vaccine, due to inadequate testing.

Other doctors have also pointed out that there are details that do not really seem to fit to the big picture (as an example the presentation of made by dr. Teresa Forcades i Vila). If one wants to add a little conspiracy salt to this, there are some good ingredients for many things, e.g. saving the pharmaceuticals in the moment of crisis (admitting that I do not know if there was even a need for this..), the media showing its strengths as an opinion shaper or just to sell more newspapers etc..

It is also funny how the whole swine flu kind of came out of nowhere, all the sudden. Before the first cases in mexico I had never even heard about it (yet there has been swine flu outbreaks before). Curiously enough, there was another virus that everybody talked a lot even though nothing (so far) “came out of it”. I quess the question is not only where did the swine flu come from, but also where did the bird flu go?

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Maritime shortcuts

Thursday, September 10th, 2009
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world map in Arabic
Creative Commons License photo credit: mikel_maron

I know I am missing several pieces of information but I cannot help wondering about the curious case of Arctic Sea, the ship which was hijacked or not hijacked while carrying weapons to Iran or timber to Algeria, depending on who you ask. The whole thing seems so bizarre with all its claimed hijackings and connections to Israel etc. that it seems almost impossible to take a grip on it all (more info, though, about the incident can be found  here and here and in plenty of other places as well.

There are so many things that just do not fit. Take the route for example. If you want to smuggle arms from Russia to Iran, why do you wanna go through the Atlantic, Mediterranean Sea and Indian Ocean when you can just row your boat over the Caspian Sea? It is not only quicker, but I suppose a lot easier as well, no need to worry about the coast guards and inspections of god knows how many different, more or less well-functioning states?

Then again, if the missiles or arms to be taken to Iran were in Kaliningrad, I suppose there was no other option. But if so why go to Finland to get timber, why not just get the “fake” cargo directly from Kaliningrad, im sure you can buy timber from there as well..

Ok, maybe that was done in order to lose the real “origin”of the cargo. Finland and timber, I do not think it can get any less suspicious than that. But what the hell was this hijacking thing then? Hijack timber in the Baltic Sea? Just buy an axe and go to Lapland and you’ll get it lot cheaper and easier.

In any case, let’s suppose there was no “real” hijackers, let’s assume it really was Mossad or some Israeli organization who was behind it all. But then again, why let the boat leave the harbor in the first place, why not just make a call to Lavrov or some other Russian authority when the boat was already in Kalinigrad and say: “hey, some of your general or someone is trying to smuggle your missiles?” Or later on in the port of Pietarsaari in Finland? One could assume this would be of interest at least to the Russian authorities… “Really? Well, we better take a look then before it sails..” would seem like a likely answer..

Then again, I quess it is possible that the whole thing was approved by the Russian authorities. However, that takes us back to the first question, why not just sail across the Caspian Sea? Could not get much more simple and quicker than that. Or maybe it is just that the weather in the Caspian Sea can get really nasty..

Or maybe it is possible it really was just timber. But in that case why hijack (or whatever you wanna call it), and why switch off the tracking device? And how incompetent is the captain if he ends up in Cap Verde when he was supposed to go to Algeria? I have heard of drunken seamen but this has to be the record. Furthermore, the market price for timber has to ridiculously high if it is worth on the part of the Russian authorities to send so many vessels after it (including two nuclear subs..) and then fly the suspects on three different army jets back to Russia.

No wonder everybody is so interested to know what really happened, even though it is also possible one will never know for sure. There is no shortage of trying though, Google News gives the words “Arctic Sea” and “ship” English newscount of 1.639. That also goes on to show, that if you wanna do something in secret, this really is not a good way to do it..

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East Africa Got Cable

Friday, July 24th, 2009
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cable
Creative Commons License photo credit: myuibe

The good news of today was that the first of the long-awaited undersea cables bringing high-speed internet to East Africa went live. So far the connections have been made via satellites, which equals to lower connection speeds and a lot higher prices. I have heard that a connection of 512kb could cost up to 300 USD/month in parts of West Africa, and even then the connection is divided by many users (even though it is not supposed to). However, higher prices are also possible as shown in this example from Tanzania.

The bad news (of the same good news) is that it seems the new cables are unlikely to make the connections for consumers any cheaper. The connections might get faster, which is remarkable already by itself (some say that the use of YouTube etc. has so far been practically impossible), but most of the ISPs (Internet Service Provider) have not made any commitments on bringing the prices down. However, for businesses the prices are going to get cheaper, even as much as 80% (how is this possible that it only includes businesses..?). Thus, at least in Kenya, it is hoped that it will be the cyber-cafe owners who will pass the benefits to the consumers.

I think its great that more people can connect, because the web can truly be a useful tool in development and not just an endless well of sex, entertainment and useless information (not that there is nothing wrong in those either). Therefore, if this new cable brings connection to schools and other useful entities that is just superb. However, I think it is just as important to get the average consumer into the picture as well, but with a monthly price tag of 300 dollars I do not see that happening (I could not afford it myself), and the exclusion between some and the others might just get bigger.

With so many people without connection in Africa I fail to see why lowering the prices would not make a viable bottom-of-the-pyramid market for the ISPs? Furthermore, should not the competition take care of this automatically or do the ISPs pact among themselves or run by state-owned or state-linked monopolies (which is kind of what is happening in Spain with Telefonica)? Or is it just that people do not have the gadgets (computers, mobiles etc.) needed to access the web, and that is why the hope lays upon the internet cafes?

Interesting to see however how things turn up though. As a slightly depressing point of reference, it has been said that the cable in West Africa did not fulfill its promises, at leat not entirely. Moreover, I do not know how much the new cables help the inland countries, is there the needed infrastructure in place to take the connections further? In any case, at least one of the items blocking high speed and reasonably priced internet connection is out of the way. Furthermore, if nothing comes out of this one, other initiatives to help the situation are underway as well. It is just that with a little more pacience and little less “hasty” greediness already this one might hit the target.

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Voting Time

Thursday, July 23rd, 2009
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I do not really know what to make of this. I suppose every country has its own political culture, and I have heard that “debates” like these are pretty commonplace in the South Korean parliament. If nothing else, these representatives take the issues seriously, it seems pretty clear that none of them is in politics just for the sake of a big salary and a nice pension plan.

As you can see from the video, it is not just some shouting and pushing that takes place, they really are on each others throats, there is even one guy launching him towards the podium as said in the report. Furthermore, not only the men but also the women are all at it as well. It is also likely that at least some of the participants have real skills taekwondo being the national sport and all (even though it does not really seem so in the video).

It would have been interesting to be  a fly on the wall, I mean who were for example the brains behind the idea of blocking the doors with the table? I also wonder about the next day, do they all just sat down for a coffee and say “well, I think we all overreacted a little”, shake hands and go on with their everyday parliamentary work (whatever that means in this case…)?

In any case, I dont know if I would like to see this happening here, I am doubting whether this is a very constructive way to decide about things. I am not really sure if this would fall into the category of democratic debates either. Then again, it could be a breath of fresh air in the everyday boring routine. One thing seems sure though, the department of propaganda of North Korea is going to make at least 3 “Wippiis” with this one.

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